Corona: CovidSim

Es gibt anscheinend zwei verschiedene Simulatoren mit dem Namen COVIDSIM.

CovidSIM

Prof. Dr. Martin Eichner, Epidemiologe an der Universität Tübingen, hat zusammen mit dem Landesgesundheitsamt Baden-Württemberg das interaktive Simulationsmodell CovidSIM entwickelt: http://covidsim.eu/

CovidSim Model

COVID-19 CovidSim microsimulation model entwickelt vom MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis hosted at Imperial College, London.

Autoren: Neil Ferguson, u.a.

Source Code

As with any mathematical model, it is easy to misconfigure inputs and therefore get meaningless outputs. The Imperial College COVID-19 team only endorses outputs it has itself generated.

— Warnung im Source Code Repository

Relevant Papers

• https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
• https://www.nature.com/articles/nature04795
• https://www.nature.com/articles/nature04017
• https://www.pnas.org/content/105/12/4639.short

 

Studien mit Fergusons CovidSim

• Effect of school closures on mortality from coronavirus disease 2019: old and new predictions 7.10.2020