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| − | *[https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m3588 Effect of school closures on mortality from coronavirus disease 2019: old and new predictions] 7.10.2020. | + | == Simulationsergebnisse == |
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| + | *[https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m3588 Effect of school closures on mortality from coronavirus disease 2019: old and new predictions] 7.10.2020: | ||
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| + | {{Quote|The model predicted that school closures and isolation of younger people would increase the total number of deaths, albeit postponed to a second and subsequent waves. The findings of this study suggest that prompt interventions were shown to be highly effective at reducing peak demand for intensive care unit (ICU) beds but also prolong the epidemic, in some cases resulting in more deaths long term.}} | ||
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| + | *[https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.09.20210146v3 SARS-CoV-2 waves in Europe: A 2-stratum SEIRS model solution] 20.12.2020: | ||
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| + | {{Quote|We found that 180-day of mandatory isolations to healthy <60 (i.e. schools and workplaces closed) produces more final deaths if the vaccination date is later than (Madrid: Feb 23 2021; Catalonia: Dec 28 2020; Brussels Apr 25 2021; Paris: Jan 14 2021; London: Jan 22 2021). }} | ||
[[Category:COVID19]] | [[Category:COVID19]] | ||
Aktuelle Version vom 16. Januar 2021, 05:32 Uhr
Simulationsergebnisse
- Effect of school closures on mortality from coronavirus disease 2019: old and new predictions 7.10.2020:
The model predicted that school closures and isolation of younger people would increase the total number of deaths, albeit postponed to a second and subsequent waves. The findings of this study suggest that prompt interventions were shown to be highly effective at reducing peak demand for intensive care unit (ICU) beds but also prolong the epidemic, in some cases resulting in more deaths long term.
We found that 180-day of mandatory isolations to healthy <60 (i.e. schools and workplaces closed) produces more final deaths if the vaccination date is later than (Madrid: Feb 23 2021; Catalonia: Dec 28 2020; Brussels Apr 25 2021; Paris: Jan 14 2021; London: Jan 22 2021).
